St.Xavier’s College,Kolkata organized a UGC sponsored
National Seminar on “Redefining Business Vision:Issues and Challenges” on
19March,2016 in collaboration with University of Calcutta and
ICSSR.Fr.Dr.J.Felix Raj,S.J.,Principal of St.Xavier’s College inaugurated the
seminar by lighting lamp and by welcoming address.The theme address was given
by Prof.Swagata Sen-Pro-Vice Chancellor of Calcutta University.The theme of the
Plenary session was “Strategies for Redefining Corporate vision-Issues and
Challenges” where Prof.Kanika Chatterjee of Calcutta University addressed about
Towards a Social License vision of global legitimacy.Mr.Chandra Shekhar Ghosh
of Bandhan Bank said on how Bandhan Bank becomes a big giant of private bank in
India where strategy and vision were the two pyramids.Prof.Sankarshan Basu of IIM,Bangalore,threw light on Reinsurance.In
the Pannel Discussion under the theme “Reshaping strategies for sustainable business
vision” ,Prof.Banikanta Mishra of Xavier University,Bhubaneshwar,said about
Corporate Social Responsibility,Prof.Peeyush Mehta of IIM,Kolkata,said on the
sustainable business vision and its consequences,Prof.Pranabesh Roy,Xavier
School of Management ,Jamsedpur addressed on Human Resource Management where
how many years can be considered as sustainable business is to be judged was
the central point of lecture.
There were 7 technical sessions on
finance,accounting,marketing,and human resources comprising 51 papers.
I have presented a paper on “Financial crises and nexus
between growth and foreign direct investment”.
The abstract of my paper is given below.
Financial Crises and Nexus between Economic
growth and Foreign Direct Investment
Dr.Debesh Bhowmik
(Retired Principal
and Associated with International Institute for Development Studies, Kolkata)
Email-debeshbhowmik@rediffmail.com
ABSTRACT
The objective of this paper is to study the relation between
FDI and growth with multiple factors. Secondly, it exclusively explained the
nature of FDI in the financial crises when growth declined. Ragimana(2012),Adelake(2014),Tintin(2012),Stehrer
and Woerz(2009),Li and Liu(2005), Dinda(2009),Nair(2010) and many other studies
have been incorporated to relate growth and FDI with other variables for several countries including India. Data have been
collected from the World Bank, Reserve Bank of India, UNCTAD for the year from
1990 to 2013.For co-integration and VAR analysis the models of Engle and
Granger(1987) , Johansen (1991,1996) and Johansen and Juselius (1990)
methodologies were used. Hansen and Doornik(1994) model was done to test of
normality for residuals.
Taking GDP growth rate, degree of opennesss, total
external debt, interest rate and exchange rate as the important determinants of
FDI in India during 1990-2013, the paper verified that the Engle-Granger
methodology showed that there is co-integrating relationship where degree of
openness and interest rate are significant where as Johansen test proved that
there are 5 cointegrating vectors in the
level series, 5 cointegrating vectors in the first difference series
respectively. The VECM is verified and it was found that there are serial
correlation and ARCH error with non-normal distribution where all roots lie
inside the unit root circle including 5 unit roots but impulse response
functions do not approach to zero and error correction terms and residual
systems are explosive.
The paper
also concludes that FDI does not cause Granger financial crises but financial
crises do cause Granger FDI. In every financial crisis since 1890,FDI changes
downward but in Euro crises and US subprime crises, FDI did not decline in most
of the East Asian countries. The declining growth rate and flows of FDI in all
financial crises were the general phenomenon. Also in India, financial crises
had negative impact on FDI and growth.
The limitation is that there are many determinants of FDI in the economy as
suggested by existing literature available on this issue, namely,(i) Market Size(ii) Portfolio
Diversification(iii) Resource Location(iv) Differential Rate of Return(v)
Foreign Exchange Reserves(vi) Internationalization (vii) Openness(viii)
Government Regulations(ix) Political Stability(x) Tax Policies(xi) Inflation (xii)
Industrial Organization(xiii) The Level of External Indebtedness(xiv) Foreign
Exchange Rate (xv) technology ,(xvi) human capital respectively. The choice
variables depend on the needs of the economy.
More
analysis can be done in the cases where FDI decline in every financial crisis
regionally or sub-regionally. Even, why China and other East Asia did not react
negatively too much in recent crises is to be an added future studies. Even, the relation among currency
crisis, banking crisis and debt crisis with growth can be explained in a more
detail manner in future studies in specific country.
Key
words- Foreign Direct Investment, economic growth, financial crises, cointegration,
VAR
JEL-C23,C33,
F21,F01,O55
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