WHAT IS HUMAN CAPITAL INDEX
The Human Capital Index is a new measure for
capturing and tracking the state of human capital development around the world.
It has three key features. First, the Index measures a broader set of
indicators than the traditional definitions of human capital. Human capital is
not a one–dimensional concept, but means different things to different
stakeholders. In the business world, human capital is the economic value of an
employee’s set of skills. To the policy maker, human capital is the capacity of
the population to drive economic growth. Traditionally, human capital has been
viewed as a function of education and experience, the latter reflecting both
training and learning by doing. But in recent years, health (including physical
capacities, cognitive function and mental health) has come to be seen as a
fundamental component of human capital. Additionally, the value of human
capital is critically determined by the physical, social and economic context
of a society, because that context determines how particular attributes a
person possesses may be rewarded. The Index is thus based on four pillars:
three core determinants of human capital (education, health and employment)
plus those factors that allow these three core determinants to translate into
greater returns. Second, the Index takes a long–term approach to human capital.
In addition to providing a snapshot of the state of a country’s human capital
today through measures that reflect the results of a country’s past practices,
it includes indicators resulting from practices and policy decisions impacting
the children of today and which will shape the future workforce. Long–term
thinking around human capital often does not fit political cycles or business
investment horizons; but lack of such long term planning can perpetuate
continued wasted potential in a country’s population and losses for a nation’s
growth and productivity. The Index seeks to develop a stronger consciousness
around the need for such planning. Third, the Index aims to take into account
the individual life course. For example, the WHO states that A nation’s human
capital endowment—the skills and capacities that reside in people and that are
put to productive use—can be a more important determinant of its long term
economic success than virtually any other resource. This resource must be
invested in and leveraged efficiently in order for it to generate returns, for
the individuals involved as well as an economy as a whole. Additionally,
despite high unemployment in many countries, the global economy is entering an
era of talent scarcity that, if left unaddressed, will hinder economic growth
worldwide. Understanding and addressing challenges related to human capital is
thus fundamental to short term stability as well as the long term growth,
prosperity and competitiveness of nations. The Human Capital Index explores the
contributors and inhibitors to the development and deployment of a healthy,
educated and productive labour force, and has generated the information
contained in this Report. The Index provides country rankings that allow
for effective comparisons across regions and income groups. The methodology and
quantitative analysis behind the rankings are intended to serve as a basis for
designing effective measures for workforce planning. While the rankings are
designed to create greater awareness among a global audience, the Index also
seeks to serve as a basis for dialogue and action by leaders at the World
Economic Forum to increase public–private collaboration on developing human
capital. The Human Capital Report “early childhood is the most important phase
for overall development throughout the lifespan,” elaborating that “many
challenges faced by adults, such as mental health issues, obesity, heart
disease, criminality, and poor literacy and numeracy, can be traced back to
early childhood.” The Index thus includes measures indicating quality of early
childhood. Furthermore, the Index captures the extent to which investments made
in earlier years in health and education are being realised in the working age
population through lifelong learning and training. Finally, at the other end of
the continuum, the Index takes into account the health and productivity of the
older population. As a vital support to the Index, the Country Profiles
included in this Report contain a wide variety of contextual factors. In
particular, the Profiles call attention to population dynamics, such as youth
bulges, ageing populations and shrinking workforces, which, in the context of
limited resources, point to critical areas for urgent– and longer– term
investments. The four pillars of the Index are: • The Education pillar
contains indicators relating to quantitative and qualitative aspects of
education across primary, secondary and tertiary levels and contains
information on both the present workforce as well as the future workforce. •
The Health and Wellness pillar contains indicators relating to a
population’s physical and mental well– being, from childhood to adulthood. •
The Workforce and Employment pillar is designed to quantify the
experience, talent, knowledge and training in a country’s working–age
population. • The Enabling Environment pillar captures the legal
framework, infrastructure and other factors that enable returns on human
capital. The Index contains 51 indicators in total, spread across the four
pillars, with 12 indicators in the Education pillar, 14 in the Health and
Wellness pillar, 16 in the Workforce and Employment pillar and nine in the
Enabling Environment pillar. The values for each of the indicators come from
publicly available data produced by international organizations such as the
World Health Organization (WHO), the United Nations Educational Scientific and
Cultural Organization (UNESCO) and the International Labour Organization (ILO).
In addition to hard data, the Index uses qualitative survey data from the World
Economic Forum’s Executive Opinion Survey and Gallup’s wellness
perception survey data.
To standardize the dataWEF used the z–score
statistic as it preserves the distribution of the data, a feature most relevant
for a comparative international composite index. Z–scores are expressed as
standard deviations from the mean. The mean is zero and has a standard
deviation of one. This means that all data points above the mean are expressed
as positive scores and all data below the mean are expressed as negative
scores. The z–scores methodology is based on an assumption of the normal
distribution. A standard deviation of plus (minus) 1 represents the area 34.13%
above (below) the mean (zero) and a standard deviation of plus (minus) 2
represents the area 47.72% above (below) the mean. The z–score of a data point
indicates the number of standard deviations above or below the mean. So a
z–score of –2 is exactly two standard deviations, or 47.72%, below the mean. The
z–score approach is a widely used way of converting raw data that is expressed
in differing formats into a common metric (standardizing).
Globally, Finland tops the rankings of the Human Capital Index in 2015,
scoring 86% out of a possible 100. Norway (2), Switzerland (3), Canada (4) and
Japan (5) make up the rest of the top five. They are among a group of only 14
nations that have crossed the 80% threshold.In addition to the 14 countries that have reached 80% human capital optimization, 38 countries score between 70% and 80%. A further 40 countries score between 60% and 70%, while 23 countries score between 50% and 60% and nine countries remain below 50%.
The Human Capital Index reveals several trends and
challenges in the current education, skills and jobs agenda and the future
outlook for major economies. These developments imply that we need to rethink
how the world’s human capital endowment is invested in and leveraged for social
and economic prosperity and the well-being of all. Similar to all global
challenges in which our existing systems, structures and formal institutions no
longer suffice, the world needs a new level of global cooperation on education,
skills and jobs. Governments, business leaders, educational institutions and
individuals must each understand the magnitude of the change underway and
fundamentally rethink the global talent value chain. In order to be proactive
in our response to both the current predicaments and a highly uncertain future,
we must re-think what it means to learn, what it means to work and what is the role
of various stakeholders in ensuring that people are able to fulfil their
potential.
In the Table below, we can compare the indices among
some of the top countries.
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