Dr.DEBESH BHOWMIK

Dr.DEBESH BHOWMIK

Friday, 20 July 2012

AN INTRODUCTION TO FOOD SECURITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE

An Introduction to Food Food Security and Climate Change-Debesh Bhowmik
Edited Volume-FOOD SECURITY IN INDIA-by Biswajit Chatterjee and Asim Kumar Karmakar
(Regal Publication,NewDelhi,2012,Rs1880/-,H.B.)

This volume contains 21 articles presented and selected from the seminar on Food Security in Netaji Nagar College,Kolkata,organised by Bengal Economic Association in 2010.
The contributors are emminent scholars and economists like Prof.Biswajit Chatterjee,Prof.Raj Kumar Sen,Prof.Sb Ranjan Misra,Dr.Pranab Kumar Chattapadyaya,Dr.Dhirendra Nath Konar,Dr.Joydeb Sarkhel,Debes Mukhopadyaya,Dr.Asim Karmakar,Dr.Purba Chattpadhyaya,Dr.Subir Mukhopadhyaya,Dr.Dhiraj Kumar Bandopadhyaya,Dr.Debesh Bhowmik,,Dr.Srijit Chowdhury,Anath Bandhu Mukherjee,Debjani Roy,Dr.Suvrangshu Pan,Ramanuj Goswami,Suhas Roy,Dr.Swapan Kumar Roy,Dr.Biswanath Mandal,Anusuya Kar,Bhajan Chandra Barman,Tapan Purkait.

This volume covers wide range of cause of food insecurity, problem of food distribution,management of food food security,nutrition,right to food,private market on food,food security bill,water crisis,climate change causes food insecurity etc with some recommendations of policies.

I have produced the effects of climate change on the security of food vis-a-vis NAC report on food security.
In brief,my paper summarises that World Food Summit (1996) defined food security as “when all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life” .It has three components (a) availability of food in the market; (b) access to food through adequate purchasing power; and (c) absorption of food in the body .Food security includes  (1) the ready availability of nutritionally adequate and safe foods, and (2) an assured ability to acquire acceptable foods in socially acceptable ways.  Famine and hunger are both rooted in food insecurity. Food insecurity can be categorized as either chronic or transitory. Chronic food insecurity translates into a high degree of vulnerability to famine and hunger; ensuring food security presupposes elimination of that vulnerability. Food security is a complex sustainable development issue, linked to health through malnutrition, but also to sustainable economic development, environment, and trade.
Food security and climate change are deeply interconnected .The changing temperature and rainfall patterns and increasing carbon dioxide level will undoubtedly have important effects on global agriculture and thus on food security. One long-term field study documented  a 15% decrease in yield for every 1 °C increase in mean temperature.The recent IPCC Fourth Assessment Report indicates that climate change will have significant impact on crop production and water management systems in coming decades.
Environmental Protection Agency (1989), The study of Rosenberg and Crosson (1991), Reilly, Hohmann, Kane(1994), US Department of Agriculture(1995), (Reilly,2001), Nordhaus and Boyer (2000), Tol(2002), Hitz and Smith(2004), Parry and Fischer(1995), The Stern Report of UK Government(2006), and  Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) concluded from their researches  that there is a inverse association between yield of agriculture and the temperature.
Indian climate is dominated by the south-west monsoon, which brings most of the region’s precipitation.  Agricultural productivity is sensitive to two broad classes of climate-induced effects—(1) direct effects from changes in temperature, precipitation, or carbon dioxide concentrations, and (2) indirect effects through changes in soil moisture and the distribution and frequency of infestation by pests and diseases. Rice and wheat yields could decline considerably with climatic changes.
Sanghi, Mendelsohn, and Dinar (1998) calculated that a 2 °C rise in mean temperature and a 7% increase in mean precipitation would reduce net revenues by 12.3% for India as a whole. Agriculture in the coastal regions of Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Karnataka is found to be the most negatively affected. Small losses are also indicated for the major food-grain producing regions of Punjab, Haryana, and western Uttar Pradesh. On the other hand, West Bengal, Orissa, and Andhra Pradesh are predicted to benefit – to a small extent – from warming.
Diversity farming is the single most important modern technology to achieve food security in a changing climate.The International Assessment of Agricultural Science and Technology for Development (IAASTD)  adopted agriculture by
“- changing varieties/ species to fit more appropriately to the changing thermal and/or hydrological conditions;
- changing timing of irrigation and adjusting nutrient management;
- applying water-conserving technologies and promoting agro biodiversity for increased resilience of the agricultural systems;
- altering timing or location of cropping activities and the diversification of agriculture.”
UPA-II government  proposed Food Security Act which ensure 35 kg of rice and wheat to all the Below Poverty Line (BPL) households in India at Rs 3 per kg. If the government were to universalise PDS in the fiscal 2010-11, keeping 80 per cent coverage and BPL-CIP, the total annual food subsidy required (Budget Estimate 2010-11) would be Rs 97,815.9 crore (1.48 per cent of GDP). Since the present food subsidy stands at 0.84 per cent of the GDP, the additional annual food subsidy required would be around 0.64 per cent. Even if we calculate using Antyodaya-CIP and 100 per cent coverage, the total annual food subsidy required (BE 2010-11) would be Rs 147,500 crore (2.23 per cent of GDP). The additional food subsidy required as a share of GDP, even in this estimate, would not go beyond 1.39 per cent.
The National Advisory Council recommended an increase of 10 kgs per household.  It proposes that all ‘socially vulnerable groups’ including SC/STs would receive 35 kgs of food grains per household at Rs. 3 per kg in the districts/blocks. Others (not defined) would be guaranteed 25 kgs ‘at an appropriate price’. The NAC states that in urban areas, eligible households (again identified by undefined planning commission criteria) would get 35 kgs of food grains at Rs. 3 per kg. The NAC wants to extend ‘comprehensive nutrition support schemes for infants, pre-school children, school children, welfare hostel students, adolescent girls, pregnant women, street-children, homeless, the aged and infirm, differently-abled, those living with leprosy, TB and HIV/AIDS etc.,’. It also  aims to work towards ‘measures for enhancing agriculture production, PDS and procurement reforms, ICDS reforms and maternity benefits, community kitchens and destitute feeding’.

Thursday, 12 July 2012

THE NEXUS BETWEEN CAPITAL FLOWS AND GROWTH

THE NEXUS BETWEEN CAPITAL FLOWS AND GROWTH - Dr.DEBESH BHOWMIK
International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research - Vol-I,Issue-3,June 2012,pp1-6

This paper  concluded that growth is positively related with FDI in a single equation technique during 1991-92-2009-10 but FDI is inversely related with growth and portfolio is positively related with growth in multiple regression analysis.India's FDI is determined by current and capital account balances and REER positively.Irrespective of that role of the governance in applying capital flows in different stages of development is vital for consideration towards management of capital flows.India's FDI inflows  has been increasing at the rate 22.95% per year during the reform period.The question arises in the liberalisation process of capital flows where structural imbalance of India's BOP destabilises India's trade and finance from which external value of rupee is determined.

Monday, 21 May 2012

UPA-II,India Government spent 3 years.


UPA-II,India Government spent 3 years.
India could not reach 9% growth rate since 2009-2010,but it is below 8% from second quarter of 2010-11.Stock market performance is down swing, it has dwindled 23.1% from the peak level of November 2010.Fiscal deficit as percent of GDP has gone up from 4.9% in 2010-11 to 5.9% in 2011-12 but likely to drop down to 5.1% in 2012-13.Still in April,2012,it is 8%,so no sign of improvement.The consumption would rise to 4% of GDP in 2011-12 in comparison to 2.7% in previous year.Rupee Dollar rate has been falling to at a floor level.But,it is said from govt.level that it is the effect of Euro crisis.Moreover, Government of India is defamed with scams and protest against corruptions although it has enlighted with reform measures which highlighted with higher privatization and liberalisation drives.

Saturday, 12 May 2012

Presidential Election in India

Presidential Election in India

In the forthcoming presidential election in India,a proposal was placed in favour of finance minister Pranab Mukherjee because of Congress(I)'s sure goal taking all parties cooperation against BJP.One or two years ago,the name of PM was raised,but no body ,of late , propose such name from the side of Congress(I).Its an suspicious matter.Secondly,somebody were thinking the name of Kalam-the former President-as a general consensus.On the other hand,the possible third party coalition may think another name as President.One candidate as already proposed and he is former speaker Somnath Chatterjee.
          Now,the question is why UPA(II) does not confirm success their name as President?The role of BJP is important because its success in past few election result.Even,this party,I hope that,will not be on the general consensus.Same is applicable to left parties.TMC's role is unpredictable.So,no preassumed result is yet to be declared now,until and unless,the nomination is over.
            Economic implication is favourable to Pranab Mukherjee because of his success in securing post of FM,but the name of PM is not favourable as FM if we analyse the party's role.On the opposite side,if third front is visible and Somnath Chatterjee is selected for nomination ,then the election for President will be crucial for the voters as well as political mission.  

Tuesday, 8 May 2012

A NEW EU LEADERSHIP IN A DILEMMA











 
A NEW EU LEADERSHIP IN A DILEMMA

It is miraculous that Sarkozy was defeated by the socialist leader Hollande in the France election .As a result of this the Markel-Sarkozy move against the Euro Crisis may be delayed or may be move on other direction because one remarks is very much important that the stimulus package of EU debt crisis may be suspended for which Greece, France, Ireland, Spain even France will suffer and common fiscal policy may be left unimplemented. Besides, the new Stability and Growth Pact will be problematic. On the other hand, if stimulus package is suspended the agitation in Greece may revamp and the destabilization of economy will continue. It is expected that how the socialist leader-Hollande will co-operate with Markel of Germany or with EU nations, how they will co-exist regarding the solution for Euro crisis, how they will exchange their views on the criteria of Maastricht treaty , are really difficult situation to handle with. If the proper understanding on Euro crisis is not met up, the single currency Euro may disappear and the fragmentation of EU on monetary integration appears to be accelerated. International monetary system will be turmoil and regional currency system will get a shock and regional trade integration as well as regional monetary integration will fail to contribute in the world monetary order.

Monday, 2 April 2012

Media and Soumitra Chattopadhyaya



After the receipt of Dada Saheb Phalke Award,Soumitra Chatterjee is getting so many interviews by press and other media but a few months back he faced serious criticism in the form of being left/non left.He was not debated on the issue of his works eg,drama,cinema,poems,recitations etc.Now -a-days,those who criticised him severely are silent and are being jealous.On the other hand,there is emerging competition among the media how much and to what extent they could cover on Soumitra Chatterjee showing list of cinemas,list of poems, dramas, his directions,his manners,his popularity,his opinions so and so on.Some become flatterers.So,I wish to say about the role of media and its long term social responsibility..Conflicts had already been started and it would be more acute.If the media do not confess their social responsibilities,people may reject them.Covering Soumitra Chatterjee is proved so.

Tuesday, 27 March 2012

Korea Nuclear Summit-2012.


At Seoul Nuclear Summit,USA and Russia are not mutually exclusive regarding utilisation of nuclear weapons and nuclear energy.The 50 delegates are on general consensus on the production of nuclear weapon by North Korea and Iran.No country could not any solution on nuclear energy disaster management in spite of the fact that the percentage of nuclear energy of the total energy has declined rapidly,yet India and other developing countries are going to trade technology transfer on nuclear power with France , USA and Canada and UK respectively.On the nuclear terrorism as raised by USA,no country gave any formula to tackle the problem and take responsibility.Is nuclear terrorism a valid reality by explaining only 9/11 ? We have to think otherwise. Because,the super powers are saying that a small resource is needed for producing an nuclear bomb ,we need not be worry for shortage of resource but we should care its utility from the  terrorists' hands who are Afganisthan,Iran,North Korea or Iraq,etc?Will USA or Russia determine the users of nuclear bombs?When and where the bombs will be used ,will they fix it? Then what is the necessity of this summit?