Dr.DEBESH BHOWMIK

Dr.DEBESH BHOWMIK

Monday, 29 July 2013

DIRECTION OF WORLD TRADE : EMERGING AND DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AND DEVELOPING ASIA





DIRECTION OF WORLD TRADE:EMERGING AND DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AND DEVELOPING ASIA

--Dr.Debesh Bhowmik

The Emerging and the Developing countries were able to increase its trade to the world as a whole including all regions like, Advanced Countries,Emerging and Developing countries, Developing Asia, Europe, SubSaharan Africa and Western Asia.Emerging and Developing countries exported 7146.69 billion dollar in 2011 which increased to 7436.54 billion dollar in 2012 and imported 6775.77 billion dollar in 2011 that enhanced to 7436.54 billion dollar in 2012 although surplus trade balance marginally reduced. Of this trade major shares went to advanced and emerging economies. Their export to advanced countries stepped up to 4284.58 billion dollar in 2012 from 4197.01 billion dollar in 2011 in comparison  to imports 3492.6 billion dollar in 2011 to 3550.52 billion dollar in 2012 ie a clearly an increased trade balance surplus. Its intra-trade increased to in both exports and imports including a reduction of negative trade balance. The trade to other regions given above, both the exports and imports increased with an increased negative trade balance, ie a gain from international trade.
The developing Asia enhanced their exports and imports to the world from 2011 to 2012.Their export was 3110.34 billion dollar in 2011which rose to 3265.04 billion dollar in 2012 and import increased from 1665.81 billion dollar in 2011 to 1666.24 billion dollar in 2012 including increment in trade surplus. The same trends were observed in the regions of Europe, SubSaharan Africa and Western Hemisphere but facing increased trade deficit. The intra-trade of the Developing Asia has flourished too with the decreased in trade surplus. The major share of trade of the developing Asia went to the advanced countries but trade with emerging and developing countries has increased too with about equal share followed by the European share.
Therefore, it is clear that the developing countries were able to increase their international trade to the sufficient level in comparison to the developed countries. This is the transition as result of the crisis.

(see Table,source-IMF)



Emerging and Developing countries(USbillion dollar)

Export
Import
Export
Import
Export
Import

2010
2011
2012
World
5718.79
5460.10
7146.69
6775.77
7436.54
7117.07
Advanced Economies
3444.31
2934.45
4197.01
3492.6
4284.58
3550.52
Emerging and Developing countries
902.81
990.64
1173.02
1251.59
1277.36
1343.43
Developing Asia
404.04
428.27
530.11
559.95
554.21
610.09
Europe
351.23
448.14
428.84
601.78
471.75
647.62
Sub-Saharan Africa
136.46
143.12
173.57
192.05
187.74
222.71
Western Hemisphere
323.82
356.55                      
410.62
452.91
427.75
476.01

Developing Asia
World
25 60.58
2508.2                                                                                
3110.34
3153.55
3265.04
3311.63
Advanced Economies
1662.64
1365.24
1968.53
1665.81
2051.04
1666.24
Emerging and Developing countries
882.65
1007.43
1111.7         
1348.09
1195.45
1471.47
Developing Asia
114.83
 77.48
 144.00
109.56
151.89
120.02
Europe
154.63
258.18
188.91
356.23
204.41
397.75
Sub-Saharan Africa
68.06
81.15
89.97         
119.22
100.10
146.95
Western Hemisphere
115.58
118.89                   
15 2 .46
154.34
167.55
174.12

Saturday, 27 July 2013

DIRECTION OF TRADE OF THE AFRICAN COUNTRIES





DIRECTION OF TRADE OF THE AFRICAN COUNTRIES
--Dr.Debesh Bhowmik

The Middle East and North Africa’s trade to the world rose from 2011 to 2012 both in exports and imports but trade balance surplus reduced marginally. In 2011, they exported 1253.39 billion dollar which rose to 1339.04 billion dollar in 2012 where as import increased from 804.74 billion dollar to 931.25 billion dollar. Even their trade with advanced countries, Western Hemishere increased but decreased in Europe where negative trade balance rose a bit. They exported637.12 billion dollar to Advanced countries in 2011that stepped up to 677.53 million dollar in 2012 where as import rose from 381.97 billion dollar to 417.63 billion dollar. On the other hand their trade to Emerging developing countries, Developing Asia and Sub Saharan Africa had risen to some extent but balance of trade went to either side.
Sub Saharan Africa’s trade to the world has fallen ie, export fell to 369.65billion dollar in 2012 from 372.31 billion dollar in 2011but import rose from 363.33 billion dollar in 2011 to 379.38 billion dollar in 2012 ie a change over surplus to deficit trade balance. Their trade with advanced countries had dwindled both in exports and in imports but surplus balance reduced marginally. Their trade with sub-Saharan Africa had stepped up and even with the developing countries including developing Asia. So, intra-African trade has boosted clearly. They exported 151.86 billion dollar in 2011 which extended to 168.73 billion dollar in 2012 but imported 192.34 billion dollar in 2011 to 211.16 billion dollar in 2012 to the emerging and developing countries. To the developing Asia, they exported 85.23 billion dollar in 2011 that increased to 98.81 billion dollar in 2012 and import shifted from 94.18 billion dollar to 166.30 billion dollar during the same period. But African trade share with respect to developed countries did not moved upward significantly.

Middle East and North Africa (US billion dollar)

Export
Import
Export
Import
Export
Import

2010
2011
2012
World
950.34
709.58
1253.39
804.74
1339.04
931.25
Advanced Economies
484.40
348.15
637.12
381.97
677.53
417.63
Emerging and Developing countries
395.81
355.90
530.18
452.95
569.28
506.98
Developing Asia
235.13
156.93
328.39
199.8
358.52
221.71
Europe
21.41
53.61
27.26
69.10
26.92
89.98
Sub-Saharan Africa
21.21
6.42
25.68
6.99
26.17
8.24
Western Hemishere
8.93
20.69
13.34
29.84
14.18
30.72

Sub Saharan Africa(US billion dollar)
World
294.47
296.36
372.31
363.33
369.65
379.38
Advanced Economies
162.12
133.64
204.83
159.53
187.35
155.30
Emerging and Developing countries
128.42
152.71
151.86
192.34
168.73
211.16
Developing Asia
72.22
71.23
85.23
94.18
98.81
106.30
Europe
4.61
7.13
5.13
10.87
5.24
10.62
Sub-Saharan Africa
4.82
25.34
5.53
29.41
6.56
31.66
Western Hemishere
11.36
9.78
15.58
13.89
14.23
14.31
 Source-DOT-IMF